” You don’t see more pumps of the same eye. Until then, the low fuel consumption could space out the visits to service stations, but, if this is still true, the price to pay is equivalent now to that of a litre of gasoline. “Somewhat disillusioned, driver, diesel, and promoted long-standing executive French roll with diesel, is seriously considering to switch to gasoline. “Before it is too late and my car becomes unsaleable “, he says.
in the Face of the soaring diesel prices, diesel car owners feel trapped, the reversal of the public policies which have caused a fall in the price of their vehicle.
For the diesel specialist, “this is double punishment,” says Flavien Neuvy, director of the Observatoire Cetelem automobile. “They are both fuel price increase and a residual value of their car declines considerably because the market for diesel vehicles of opportunity collapses. “
The price of diesel is almost joined to the pump gas, under the effect of an increase in taxes aimed at putting an end to the tax advantage that this fuel had up here. So, these vehicles lose their interest and appeal, all the more that they are perceived as having little future.
” In Paris, we know that diesels will be banned in 2024. There are a lot of concerns, ” said William Paoli, a co-founder and ceo of Aramis Auto, a specialist in the sale of automobiles online. According to a study commissioned by the company, 40 % of owners of diesel were expected to change their behaviour, either by keeping their car until the end, or trying to resell them faster.”
But in case of resale, there may well be a disappointment. On the urban car diesel, “the prices are clearly falling, sometimes 10 to 15 %,” says Mr. Paoli. The decrease is less noticeable for larger vehicles, but in all cases ” the time of resale a little longer “.
It stresses that the market opportunity is completely unbalanced. “The cars of today, these are the new cars four years ago. However, 4 years ago, we sold 70 % of diesel. Today, when I look at the queries on the site Aramis, only 30 to 35 % focus on diesel “.
On the new home market, the share of diesel has also fallen below 40 % in September, compared with 73% in 2012.
” there is a problem of supply and demand. People want more gasoline and there was not as much gasoline to offer them, ” continues Guillaume Paoli.
180-degree Turn of the policy
The lower prices of used cars diesel “are significant since the beginning of the year,” confirms the Conseil national des professions de l’automobile (CNPA), which represents the dealers. Questioned by the AFP, he was not able to quantify the phenomenon.
in Addition to the cost to individuals, the NFPC provides a slate “billions of euros” for dealers, who must manage the return of millions of diesel vehicles over several years, the term of the lease agreements (LOA) of their customers. The dealers find themselves already with a fleet of cars whose value is deprecated.
“The government will never take into account the existing fleet of vehicles,” warns the NFPC, which is estimated to be 42 million cars, of which two-thirds diesel fuel.
The French were encouraged by the government, until there are yet five years, to promote the diesel in the name of the fight against global warming, reminds Flavien Neuvy.
These engines consume about 10 % less fuel and therefore emit less CO2. But their balance sheet is less favourable in terms of emissions of nitrogen oxides, gases that are harmful to health, has prompted the government to reverse completely its policy since the law on the ecological transition adopted in 2014.
The dieselgate, with its revelations about the cheating of Volkswagen and the systematic underestimation of the harmful emissions during the certification test, has delivered the coup de grace to this technology.
Among consumers, ” there is discontent, the impact on the purchasing power, but there are also industrial consequences “, with thousands of jobs under threat at manufacturers specialists of diesel engines, stresses the expert. “This is a shock impossible” to manage for a car industry that needs to make heavy investment and needs first of all visibility.